These are examples of multimedia prototypes for decision science teaching and learning in which we experiment with a variety of instructional approaches.
1. Should we test the water?
In the first of two videos, Dr. Sue J Goldie introduces the relationship between the prior probability of water toxicity, the performance of a test, and the posterior probability of toxicity conditional on a specific test result.
2. Should we test the water?
In the second of two videos, Dr. Goldie uses a 2 x 2 table to sketch out the performance of a dichotomous test, and visualize the relationship between the prior and posterior, as students prepare to learn to conduct probability revision.
In this video, Dr. Eve Wittenberg asks students to consider how they might include outcomes beyond mortality in decision analyses. She introduces utilities, discusses how they are measured and their influence on valuing outcomes.
To replace or not to replace
In this video, Professor Joe Pliskin describes a personal decision about whether or not to have hip replacement surgery, grappling with uncertainties and tradeoffs. What are his options? His preferences? How will he decide?
Check out more prototypes here.